Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-19 68.476666 77.239289 86.243512 96.156286 106.732298 117.649294 129.740962
2025-01-26 57.302411 70.111284 83.886235 99.674500 117.147676 135.780911 157.041758
2025-02-02 50.330013 65.448698 82.256314 102.067905 124.536259 149.002975 177.441113
2025-02-09 43.085801 59.476913 78.287910 101.041514 127.415902 156.663052 191.195465
2025-02-16 37.239636 54.450020 74.801787 100.004279 129.785693 163.332553 203.470367
2025-02-23 33.323323 51.336177 73.212033 100.855704 134.054787 171.936626 217.749861
2025-03-02 29.538029 48.007305 71.046111 100.739745 136.955128 178.780335 229.865483
2025-03-09 26.599759 45.495728 69.664229 101.377590 140.590559 186.358124 242.737885
2025-03-16 23.288110 42.176331 67.008209 100.221780 141.882829 191.038444 252.119590
2025-03-23 21.413109 40.677712 66.580884 101.760048 146.384122 199.478203 265.891173
2025-03-30 19.841054 39.468682 66.429119 103.565300 151.155546 208.207027 279.992569
2025-04-06 17.438069 36.813957 64.157000 102.482708 152.209597 212.362774 288.582839
2025-04-13 14.811238 33.591267 60.948435 100.064370 151.524295 214.395737 294.670396
2025-04-20 14.222449 33.553770 62.200314 103.590586 158.434093 225.780937 312.103228
2025-04-27 13.384935 33.025253 62.692384 106.052537 163.954657 235.447564 327.464353
2025-05-04 11.681721 30.864572 60.682440 105.000079 164.846330 239.317544 335.730117
2025-05-11 10.153803 28.835205 58.740502 103.938553 165.646716 243.016610 343.746527
2025-05-18 9.223150 27.789013 58.217275 104.810113 168.960344 249.854641 355.620467
2025-05-25 8.164118 26.374991 57.040987 104.691417 170.911959 254.943577 365.319726
2025-06-01 7.359839 25.364810 56.435884 105.344339 173.866248 261.290531 376.577740
2025-06-08 6.290324 23.660644 54.617910 104.161178 174.285630 264.361982 383.730456
2025-06-15 5.801682 23.140366 54.697455 105.735822 178.441352 272.227072 396.888595
2025-06-22 5.395260 22.753914 54.971814 107.583487 182.966522 280.574734 410.669801